Wednesday, April 6, 2016

Wisconsin Means Everything [Yuge UPDATE]

Wisconsin Governor - Scott Walker
For people like me who have been depressed at the thought of Donald Trump being the Republican nominee for president and what it means for the future [or lack of] of the Republican Party and the viability of conservatism going forward, we may be getting a reprieve of this death sentence from the great people of Wisconsin when they vote in today's Wisconsin primary.  

If Donald Trump wins and wins a big portion of the delegates, here is what I predict will happen going forward:

* Donald Trump will win the Republican nomination

*  The RNC convention in Cleveland will be depressing to watch and people like me won't even tune in, making it a little watched event.

*  The November presidential election, even for someone as a political junky as I am, will be very depressing on election day. 

*  Hillary Clinton will be the next president of the United States.

*  The Democrats will take back control of the United States Senate and win seats in the House. 

*  The conservative movement and the Republican Party will be hurt badly and it will take years, if not decades, to recover from. 

But, if Donald Trump loses the Wisconsin primary, especially if Senator Ted Cruz wins most of the delegates, here is what I predict will happen going forward: 

*  There will be a contested convention, i.e., no candidate will win 1237 delegates on the first ballot, meaning for the first time in a long time we will have multiple ballots, not knowing who the presidential nominee will be.

*  Donald Trump will not be the Republican nominee [because Trump's path to the nomination is winning on the first ballot-there is no way he wins if it goes to multiple ballots].

*  We will not know going into Cleveland who the vice-presidential nominee will be.

*  Instead of depression by many going into the Cleveland convention, there will be excitement and anticipation of the RNC convention in Cleveland, and it will be the most watched convention on TV in history.

*  The presidential election will be one of the most exciting in history. 

*  Hillary Clinton will not win the presidency.

*  The Republicans will maintain control of both Houses of Congress.

*  The Republican Party and conservatism will survive and remain a viable party and movement going forward.  

So, what does the Wisconsin primary mean for events going forward?   It just means everything.

On Wisconsin, baby!

UPDATE - April 5, 2016 9:00 p.m.:  Well, the results are in from Wisconsin - and let this video describe my feeling of the results that will speak for themselves. 

1 comment:

Bexfkr5 said...

Don'the know whether you know or not, but I am a University of Wisconsin graduate (cumulative laude). Wisconsin will let us down.