Wednesday, March 16, 2016

'Jolting' Reality For Donald Trump Supporters And The GOP

One of my favorite newsletters that I receive in my e-mail is National Review's Jim Geraghty's "Morning Jolt".  In fact a couple of years ago I published:  "Morning Jolt - The Indispensable Newsletter".

Well, I received in my e-mail on Tuesday one of the more important newsletter's from Jim Geraghty to date that details the disaster for the Republican Party if Donald Trump is our nominee.  I have been stressing this in my posts, but now we have facts with the latest "Morning Jolt". 

In the March 15, 2016 first headline item in the "Morning Jolt" entitled:  "My Latest Exercise in Telling People Something They Don’t Want to Believe", Mr. Geraghty opens with: "Right now all indications are that Hillary Clinton will crush Donald Trump in a general election, and there will be no big surge for Trump in longtime blue states like New York, New Jersey, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania."

On the Sean Hannity TV show, the Trump sycophant Sean Hannity, incredulously to me, asks many of his guests, "Do you think Donald Trump can take blue states like New York and New Jersey?"  And when Sean asks the guest that question, it is obvious in his mind the answer is, yes.  

That thought has always been delusional to me and I wonder if Sean will change his mind if he reads this from the March 15 newsletter from Jim Geraghty:  "In New York, the most recent Siena poll has Clinton beating Trump, 57 percent to 34 percent." ... "The outlook is equally grim across the river in New Jersey, where Trump’s Atlantic City casinos once made him a key employer. Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind survey, conducted last week, shows Clinton leading Trump 52 percent to 36 percent among registered voters in the Garden State. When asked to offer one word that describes Trump, New Jerseyans most commonly answered “arrogant,” “idiot,” “good,” “bad,” “obnoxious,” and “ass.”

Also, "In Michigan, the latest Marist poll has Clinton ahead of Trump, 52 percent to 36 percent."

Then Jim Geraghty makes this devastating point to the Trump supporters who say these polls are meaningless now.  "Even if the head-to-head numbers are not necessarily predictive, the favorable-unfavorable numbers are pretty relevant.  Right now Donald Trump is detested by the general electorate -- the most recent ABC News/Washington Post poll, an astonishing 56 percent of respondents had a strongly unfavorable opinion of Trump -- and he would begin the general election as the most unpopular figure ever nominated to be the presidential candidate for a major party."

Mr. Geraghty ends this first piece on his newsletter with a chart that shows that Donald Trump has always been seen unfavorably by at least 50% in every poll conducted going back to May 2015

Here is just the latest numbers of unfavorability of Trump that show to me just how disastrous for the GOP he will be as their nominee.  

With those numbers, if Trump were the GOP nominee he would probably take the Senate and many Republican congressmen down to defeat with him.  

If you are a conservative Republican, like I have been for decades, you must pray that the GOP wakes up and chooses a more electable candidate than Donald Trump as the nominee or we are almost certain to have Hillary Clinton as the president with a Democrat Senate.  That won't be pretty. 


No comments: