Thursday, January 5, 2012

Tales Prediction Was Right on the Mark--Sort of.

What an exciting Iowa Caucus night.  Iowa, I did a post almost begging you to come out and not let Ron Paul win your caucuses, which would have made your state irrelevant in the GOP nomination process this time and for years to come.   You came through with flying colors as you relegated Ron, the isolationist, Paul to a distant third place.  Which, by the way, was what I predicted in my post the other day.  Congratulations, Iowa.  Far from being irrelevant, you have begun the start of what looks like will be an exciting race.  It is Romney's nomination to lose, but he will have to work for it.  That will be a good thing in the end for Mitt Romney and the GOP in their quest to make Barack Obama a one term president.

Thank you Iowa!   In fact, if this was closed primary with only people who were already registered Republican allowed to participate, then Ron Paul would have barely reached double digits. He would have finished right near the bottom where he deserved.  Almost half of  Ron Paul's vote came from first time voters who weren't registered Republican [mostly college kids], independents and Democrats.  The Republican voters rejected Paul's dangerous foreign policy positions in a big way with their lack of support for him.

And for this blog's first political prediction of the 2012 season, I think it was right on the mark--sort of.   I did predict the win, place and show positions exactly.  Romney, Santorum and Paul.  I also predicted the 6th place position of Michele Bachmann.  But you might say wait a second, you picked Romney over Santorum by 2 points.  No, no, you misunderstood my graph. 

I meant two votes.

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